TY  - BOOK
AU  - David Zastrau
PY  - 2017
CY  - Berlin, Germany
PB  - Peter Lang Verlag
SN  - 9783631718957
TI  - Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions
T2  - With Application to Weather Routing and Wind Power Generation
DO  - 10.3726/b11013
UR  - https://www.peterlang.com/document/1055294
N2  - Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.
KW  - Prediction Intervals, Quantile Regression, Numerical Weather Predictions, Offshore Logistics, Wind Drives, Heuristical Planning
LA  - English
ER  -