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Strategic Rebellion

Ethnic Conflict in FYR Macedonia and the Balkans

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Pavlos Ioannis Koktsidis

Since the end of the Cold War, the consolidation of peace and security in south-eastern Europe has been one of the most complex and troublesome issues facing the international community. The sequence of conflicts in the Balkans has resulted in serious loss of life, economic collapse, and a number of controversial interventions, leading contemporary scholars to reconsider old perceptions about violent ethnic conflict. Drawing on a wealth of theoretical and empirical sources, this book tackles some of the prevailing questions on the root causes and management of ethnic conflict. Under what conditions do ethnic minorities become violent? How credible are the theories of «relative deprivation» and «greed» in explaining the outbreak of conflict? Is the use of coercive diplomacy a superior alternative to direct military forms of intervention? This book provides an analytical account of the socio-economic roots of ethnic conflict, the opportunities for violent mobilization and the success of strategic coercion in the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, and it also examines related developments in Kosovo and the Balkans.

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Acknowledgements ix

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Acknowledgements I wish to thank Professor Adrian Guelke, Dr Debbie Lisle and Professor David Chandler for their valuable comments on my original thesis. I am especially thankful to Caspar Ten Dam for all the time he has spent proof- reading this book and for the valuable and inspirational discussions we have shared over time. I would like to thank Theodoros Tosounidis, Liljana and Andrej Sevchenko and Zana Bozinovska for their help during my fieldwork trips. I must also express my appreciation to the numerous people who shared their expertise and support during the field-research activities and to those who took part in the interview sessions. This book would not have been possible without their precious contribution. I am deeply thankful to Christine Huber, Ioannis Janakos, Yolanta Kogianni, Evangelos Aspiotis, Alexis Makridis and Giorgos Polymeris for their meaningful companion- ship and support. I would also like to express my gratitude to my parents Ioannis and Eleni for their solid support throughout this venture. Finally, I wish to thank Christabel Scaife and Peter Lang publishers, as well as the book series editors Tomasz Kamusella and Krzysztof Jaskulowski, for giving me the opportunity to have this work published.

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