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Economic Dynamics and Sustainable Development – Resources, Factors, Structures and Policies

Proceedings ESPERA 2015 – Part 1 and Part 2

Luminita Chivu, Constantin Ciutacu, Valeriu Ioan-Franc and Jean-Vasile Andrei

The book is dedicated to the 150th anniversary of the Romanian Academy. It contains the most valuable 100 papers presented at the International Conference «Economic Scientific Research – Theoretical, Empirical and Practical Approaches» (ESPERA 2015). The event is initiated annually by the National Institute for Economic Research «Costin C. Kirițescu» of the Romanian Academy. ESPERA aim to present and evaluate the economic scientific research portfolio as well as to argue and substantiate development strategies, including European and global best practices. ESPERA intend to become a scientific support for the conceptualization and the establishment of policies and strategies and to provide a systematic, permanent, wide and challenging dialogue within the European area of economic and social research.

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A Mathematical Study of Connections Between Early Leavers from Education and People Living at Risk of Poverty and Social Exclusion in Romania (Carmen Adriana C. Gheorghe / Elena - Corina Cipu)

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Carmen Adriana C. Gheorghe1 & Elena - Corina Cipu2

A Mathematical Study of Connections Between Early Leavers from Education and People Living at Risk of Poverty and Social Exclusion in Romania

Abstract: The connection between people at risk of poverty (people that are at risk of poverty or social exclusion, aged 18–24 as a percent from total population) and early school leavers from education and training (total or not-employed) was studied. Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average models for each time series are stated and cointegration of these two variables was proved using the Dickey-Fuller and Engle-Granger tests. Conclusions drawn upon values of the autoregressive vectors founded were made.

Keywords: Autoregressive vectors, integrated variable, cointegration

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