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Mortality Models for Countries with Deficient Data


Maged Ishak

Reliable mortality data lack in the majority of developing countries. Indirect methods of estimation are however adopted to assess the right level and pattern of mortality in these countries. This study aims to introduce an improved statistical technique that can sufficiently utilize all the available data, i.e. both the national published data and the data obtained from sample surveys, cencuses, or any other sources to estimate infant mortality experience in the country. A Bayesian approach for estimating infant mortality in developing countries is however applied. The applicability and reliability of the model is examined by applying it to the mortality data of Egypt.
Contents: Natur of demographic data in developing countries - Direct and indirect methods for estimating mortality - Infant mortality models - Under-registration models - Bayesian approach for estimating mortality - Mortality in Egypt.