Military Resources and International War
A Statistical Theory of Interconnected Conflict
Table Of Contents
- About the author
- About the book
- This eBook can be cited
- Table of Contents
- List of Tables
- List of Figures
- List of Abbreviations
- Chapter One: Introduction
- 1.1 A Brief History of Multiple Simultaneous Conflicts
- 1.2 Competing Theories
- 1.3 Methodology and Empirical Results
- 1.4 TL; DR
- Chapter Two: Theories of Conflict, with and without Dyadic Independence
- 2.1 Butter, Guns, and Decisions
- 2.2 The Path to War
- 2.3 Hypotheses
- Chapter Three: Empirical Evidence
- 3.1 Risk Analysis and Statistical Equations
- 3.2 Cursory Evidence
- 3.3 Network Analysis
- 3.4 Logistic Regression
- 3.5 Summary of Main Evidence
- Chapter Four: Temporal Differences
- 4.1 Evidence for Behavioral Changes over Time
- 4.2 Network Dependency Changes over Time
- 4.3 Discussion of Temporal Dynamics
- Chapter Five: Regional Differences
- 5.1 Regional Differences in Network Dependencies
- 5.2 Discussion of Regional Differences
- Chapter Six: Conclusion
- 6.1 Comparison of Methods
- 6.2 North Korea and Iran
- 6.3 Future Research
- Appendix One: References
- Appendix Two: Formal Theory
- Appendix Three: Data and Variables
- Appendix Four: Full Data Tables
Table 1.1: Actual number of state-years by capability and degree.
Table 1.2: Actual number of dyad-years by capability of attacker and defender.
Table 1.3: Actual number of state-years by number of initiated and received conflicts.
Table 1.4: Number of conflicts and proportion initiated for all years.
Table 3.1: Density and expected number of 3-cycles and 4-cycles.
Table 3.3: Logit results for peace using capability proportion.
Table 3.4: Logit results for escalation using capability proportion.
Table 3.5: Logit results for threat using capability proportion.
Table 4.1: Time period BTERGM models excluding World Wars.
Table 4.2: Time period BTERGM models for World Wars.
Table 4.3: Time and polarity models of peace.
Table 4.4: Time and polarity models of escalation.
Table 4.5: Time and polarity models of threat.
Table 5.1: Regional models of Australia and Oceania.
Table 5.2: Regional models of Sub-Saharan Africa.
Table 5.3: Regional models of East and South Asia.
Table 5.4: Regional models of Latin America.
Table 5.5: Regional models of the Middle East and North Africa.
Table 5.6: Regional models of Europe (including the United States and Canada).
Table 6.1: Comparison of logit and BTERGM.
Table A4.1: Abbreviated logit results for peace using capability ratio.
Table A4.2: Logit results using capability proportion, model Peace CP 3 (details).
Table A4.3: Logit results using capability ratio, model Peace CR 4 (details).
Table A4.4: Abbreviated logit results for escalation using capability ratio.
Table A4.5: Logit results using capability proportion, model War CP 2 (details).
Table A4.6: Logit results using capability ratio, model War CR 4 (details).
Table A4.7: Abbreviated logit results for threat using capability ratio.
- ISBN (PDF)
- ISBN (ePUB)
- ISBN (MOBI)
- ISBN (Hardcover)
- Publication date
- 2021 (March)
- New York, Bern, Berlin, Bruxelles, Oxford, Wien, 2021. XVI, 178 pp., 23 b/w ill., 30 tables.