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Economic Dynamics and Sustainable Development – Resources, Factors, Structures and Policies

Proceedings ESPERA 2015 – Part 1 and Part 2

Edited By Luminita Chivu, Constantin Ciutacu, Valeriu Ioan-Franc and Jean-Vasile Andrei

The book is dedicated to the 150th anniversary of the Romanian Academy. It contains the most valuable 100 papers presented at the International Conference «Economic Scientific Research – Theoretical, Empirical and Practical Approaches» (ESPERA 2015). The event is initiated annually by the National Institute for Economic Research «Costin C. Kirițescu» of the Romanian Academy. ESPERA aim to present and evaluate the economic scientific research portfolio as well as to argue and substantiate development strategies, including European and global best practices. ESPERA intend to become a scientific support for the conceptualization and the establishment of policies and strategies and to provide a systematic, permanent, wide and challenging dialogue within the European area of economic and social research.

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Prospects of Romania’s International Investment Position and Financial Stability Risks (George Georgescu)


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George Georgescu1

Prospects of Romania’s International Investment Position and Financial Stability Risks

Abstract: The paper aims to investigate the changes in Romania’s net international investment position (NIIP) and to evaluate the prospects of this position keeping in mind the country’s road towards joining the Eurozone. Among the eleven key indicators of nominal and real convergence monitored by the European Commission (MIP Scoreboard) under the macroeconomic imbalances procedure, NIIP is the only one to which Romania stands above the indicative threshold (-57% of GDP in 2014 compared to the threshold of -35%). The study highlights the main driving factors that have led to the deterioration of NIIP during the last decade in Romania and the related risks to the financial stability. The comparative analysis of Romania’s NIIP with other EU Member Countries is shaping a picture of external assets and liabilities at the European level that may represent valuable benchmark points for their possible developments. The study found that considering the strengthening of recent trends, which witnessed a decrease in external indebtedness and in the current account deficits, the net international investment position of Romania may return within the MIP prudential standard. Under the circumstances of a favorable internal and international environment and significant progresses in structural reforms, Romania could make significant steps in order to meet all the required convergence indicators and criteria for Eurozone accession during the next decade.

Keywords: net international investment position; nominal and real convergence; financial stability;...

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